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Friday, November 04, 2005

Solar Energy the Winner

A smart stock pick not only involves technical analysis but also requires the sense of understanding the "Big Picture", i.e. where the trend is heading. Don't know how to find the big picture? Well, just read the headlines of a newspaper or just being in your normal self - sitting like potatoe in front of TV. And instead of watching NFL Football most of the time, pay a little more attention to CNN or your local news headline. What you're getting from the news may very well be valuable stock investment tips.
Energy Crisis
For instance, you probably have all heard about the buzz word "Energy Crisis" more often than Donald Trump's famous "You are fired!" phrase. With energy crisis, you could make your stock selection in either oil/gas stocks or alternative energy stocks where both categories were seeing huge demands.
Alterntave Energy
Let's say you've picked alternative energy stocks since you're more of a risk taker. You'll be given the option of various categories in alternative energy, wind, thermal, solar or hydrogen. After reading news that household that installs solar power would get some utility and tax break, you narrow down your stock pick to solar energy. Now use yahoo symbol lookup and type in the word solar and you should probably get about 11 listings with only one possible stock to pick from - Evergreen Solar, because the rest are either .PK(bankrupt) or .OB(way too risky). You could even be more caucious by checking the competitors. However you should see that only Evergreen Solar is publicly listed.
Everygreen Solar
If you buy Evergreen Solar(ESLR) half a year ago, you would probably see your portfolio more than doubled today, from $5 to $11 after a positive earning announcement. Investing this stock a year ago last November, you would see the stock more than trippled from $3 to $11. Ouch! So is the stock too expensive to buy? Well, if energy bill still keep rising, look for more upside.

3 Comments:

Blogger themicrokid said...

Solar energy is clearly a player in the future. You might want to also consider ENER and CY. I don't have positions in any of the 3.

Great article.

Themicrokid

http://themicrokid/blogspot.com
http://themicrokidstocks.blogspot.com/

9:44 PM  
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